What will happen in Russia tomorrow? This question is asked by quite many people: from political scientists to ordinary citizens. Most Russians probably don’t even think about it, simply because they have a huge number of problems and worries on top of that. Military action, mobilization, rising prices, inflation and small salaries are just some of them. And plus, the propaganda creates the illusion of stability in the country and puts the idea in the heads of Russians that if someone other than Putin is in power, there will be chaos and confusion in the country. Accordingly, if Russians do not want the country to change for the worse, they need to be loyal to everything the government does. All these are signs of a typical autocracy. The government completely monopolizes political power and partially or completely controls the spheres of life adjacent to politics. The authoritarian regime in Russia is favorable to a relatively large number of people. The new political elite, which are mainly the owners of huge companies and corporations that in one way or another affect the Russian economy.
It must be said that the war in Ukraine is very profitable for Russian military enterprises, which enrich themselves by producing missiles, equipment, outfits, etc. Also falling under this category are Russian construction campaigns, which are very happy to rebuild destroyed residential buildings and infrastructure in the captured and bombed territories. After all, the Russian government is the guarantor of Lukashenko’s monopoly power in Belarus. Belarus is essentially a Russian protectorate (I’m talking
about the supreme power, not the ordinary people). It depends on Russia economically, politically, and militarily. I could go on and on with this list, but I think you get the basic idea. So, what will happen in Russia tomorrow? There is no unambiguous answer to this question. However, most political scientists (in particular, Ekaterina Shulman) believe that Russia will follow an inertial scenario. That is, there will most likely be no radical changes soon. I just want to say that ordinary Russian citizens have little influence on the political situation in the country simply because Russia has already developed a culture of fear inherited from the USSR. People are afraid to do and say something that contradicts the state beliefs. In addition to this, it has become fashionable in Russia to write denunciations to help catch those who disagree with the authorities.